Thursday, 19 April 2012
Monday, 16 April 2012
Important Announcement
It has come to my attention today that some visitors have been receiving a warning that there could be Malware on my site. I have done some investigating and have found that one of the blogs on my blog list called Daily25 has been reported for potential Malware. I have therefore removed the blog from my list and done some checks and can confirm that the message has now disappeared.
I can also confirm that my page has not been infected and has always been clear of any malware.
Wednesday, 11 April 2012
The Real World
I have not added to my blog for a while as my day is swallowed up so quickly. I have so much going on now what with the Homer Family football, trading the horses and now T20 Cricket which is currently being traded at the console. We will also be having a delve into the Snooker World Championship which starts soon. I have also received many emails asking me to bring back the Lay Homers Horse selections which I am seriously considering.
With all this new content my blog is now outgrown and looking cluttered so I am in the process of migrating to a brand new website where I have far more freedom to expand and express myself. I am looking to launch this at the end of the month.
Once up and running I will do my best to update it every day with all aspects of my trading without spin and without the patronising statements that some other content providers choose to use. Having said that there are also services out there which are good and run by people that genuinely care about what they provide to their members.
As far as my own Homer service is concerned you can see the results on the right. When my members and I win, I shout about it like everyone else but when we lose I don't remain silent either! Adults do not need to be treated like children and only shown the bright side of the coin. I tweet even when days are not so good and don't find excuses for members either. Losing is part of trading and control of the losses are key to any successful long term strategy.
If you want to profit at £1000 a day and stay in a game for 89 minutes risking all and hoping to be saved you won't find it here. Instead you will profit in the real world with risk that is as slim as possible with a community of people who genuinely care about each others trading welfare.
Many traders subscribe to multiple services. I don't mind if members attend the console and don't take part in the console conversations but actively contribute in other services as I will announce audio instruction alerts so you will never miss out on any important in-play moves. I am niche and I encourage people to join many services for a varied portfolio.
Many traders subscribe to multiple services. I don't mind if members attend the console and don't take part in the console conversations but actively contribute in other services as I will announce audio instruction alerts so you will never miss out on any important in-play moves. I am niche and I encourage people to join many services for a varied portfolio.
To buy my strategy document please click the 'PayPal Buy Now' button and to join my service with the first 14 days free, please click the 'Subscribe' button below. Below that is an extract from the 33 page strategy document which gives an overview about me and how my football trading developed.
£29.98
The Family of Homer Football Strategies.
Homer, HomerDog, HomerActive, EHD.
Free Homer Excel Results Spreadsheet.
Thereafter £9.99 per month.
Daily Newsletter, Picks, Stakes,
Analysis, 3 Day Rolling Watch.
Access to console:
Trade Homer games live.
Trade T20 cricket & Snooker Frames live.
Be part of a friendly community.
If you are a returning member please subscribe on the Homer Buy/Subscribe tab.
£29.98
The Family of Homer Football Strategies.
Homer, HomerDog, HomerActive, EHD.
Free Homer Excel Results Spreadsheet.
Thereafter £9.99 per month.
Daily Newsletter, Picks, Stakes,
Analysis, 3 Day Rolling Watch.
Access to console:
Trade Homer games live.
Trade T20 cricket & Snooker Frames live.
Be part of a friendly community.
If you are a returning member please subscribe on the Homer Buy/Subscribe tab.
Handy Andy. An Introduction
I
have been sports trading on and off for more than four years. Originally my
main trading was pre-race horse racing but I also dabbled lightly in a few
other sports including football where I was just going round in circles. Today,
when I ask people what they used to do when they first started football trading
most would say lay the draw and I was no different. It seems to be a bog
standard way of starting out. Like most,
I would blindly forge ahead with no pre-defined structure as to the match
selection, staking or exit strategy. If you can imagine standing on a slow
conveyor belt travelling around a huge mug which you had to throw money into
after each complete revolution then that was me. Football is my passion and I
needed serious help to step off that conveyor belt but that is easier said than
done. To this day my inbox is full of emails offering ‘get rich’ sports trading
systems and services, mostly advertised in the same style and almost all just
existing to take your money with no real interest in helping the customer. In
amongst this deluge are just a handful of services that really do care about
their customers and offer value for money for the service they provide.
I
joined one service two years ago and they helped to completely transform
my football trading. Within a few months I was disciplined with firm objectives
for each match I traded. I analysed the match statistics, staked correctly, knew
exactly where my exit points were, thinking for myself and enjoying the
challenge. However there was one factor
which shadowed everything that I had learnt and that was plain old hard work
and dedication!
I
was making a small and steady profit on football for the first time. I had
stepped off the conveyor belt and was now climbing the stairs at a slow pace. I
was finally thinking for myself. I wanted to see if it was possible to find a simple
to use strategy that had a quick defining moment which would secure an
immediate profit but at the same time provide for a safe reasonable exit that
would ensure the long term success. Something that I could call my own!
I
tried many ideas for months but was soon hooked on the concept of the home goal,
after all even the worst teams seem to score regularly at home. What if I could
make the home goal that one defining moment where no matter what else happens a
profit was secured. What if I could add other factors that would increase the
chances of a winning trade. Could I find
a way to win and lose as close to the same amounts as possible thus making the
no win strike rate profitable at 51%?
The simple answer is yes but the match selection is key. If a game can
be found where the prices qualify but at the same time giving the home team the
realistic chance of providing that winning profit then we are half way there.
What we have to come to terms with is that no matter how good we think our
match selections are, we are at the mercy of those highly paid players. No
matter how much the home team may dominate in that first half, if they don’t do
their job and stick the ball in the net then we may lose money. Plain and
simple.
The
Homer and the HomerLow variation had been regularly and successfully traded by
myself and others in another service chat room for many months.
It
is the prices that give this strategy its long term profitability. We can all
lump on Chelsea when they are at home to Barnet but it won’t make any of us money
over the longer term. I use strict match selection criteria which rule out a
few competitions. Unfortunately this meant that the qualifying Homer
matches were limited to around one every day and perhaps two each on Saturday and Sunday. So I
wanted to expand the Homer portfolio so that I could trade these games
regularly. Therefore I developed the HomerDog, the frantic but successful
HomerActive and the more recent Extreme HomerDog (EHD). Naturally they are all
based on the home goal concept but the price criteria and staking is slightly different.
HomerDog and EHD are very simple to execute, in fact those strategies need no
intervention after the initial trades unless the max loss exit (MLE) needs to
be executed. These three strategies are not traded on any other service and the
criteria has only been published in this document.
I traded Homers successfully within another service and was very happy there, however,
the success and popularity of the Homer coupled with the development of the
siblings, answering queries, advising individuals, maintaining the blog and Facebook had taken its toll on my spare
time. I arrived at the crossroads of either taking a back seat and trading
quietly or continuing to use my time to help others in a more structured and
professional manner where I could at the very least receive a fee for the time and effort that I was devoting. I now have a super community of my own.
What
makes the Homer family stand out against many other strategies that I have come
across is that you know where you stand to win or lose before you take the
decision to trade. I provide a strategy calculator for console attendees which takes seconds to implement. In basic terms Homer, HomerDog and HomerActive offer an
average of the same win to lose ratio. This means we can instantly know that
when we use x2 stakes we will win or lose approx £46, x4 stakes £92, x6 stakes
£138 etc. EHD offers the potential of a bigger win.
For
each single stake you have an iniital liability of around £60 but only ever risking up to £24. so if you trade a game
using x4 stakes you will need a bank of at least £240. Only use multiple stakes
for major league games with high Correct Score market volumes. Late night South
American games should only be traded at half to single stakes and should be
classed as fun trades.
In simple terms if you get to at least half time
with the all scores except 0-0 & 0-1 you will not lose and even with these
two scores there are options to scratch and even win the entire trade.
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