HST - Homer Football, T20 Cricket, Snooker, F1

Important Announcement

It has come to my attention today that some visitors have been receiving a warning that there could be Malware on my site. I have done some investigating and have found that one of the blogs on my blog list called Daily25 has been reported for potential Malware. I have therefore removed the blog from my list and done some checks and can confirm that the message has now disappeared.

I can also confirm that my page has not been infected and has always been clear of any malware. 

The Real World

I have not added to my blog for a while as my day is swallowed up so quickly.  I have so much going on now what with the Homer Family football, trading the horses and now T20 Cricket which is currently being traded at the console.  We will also be having a delve into the Snooker World Championship which starts soon. I have also received many emails asking me to bring back the Lay Homers Horse selections which I am seriously considering.

With all this new content my blog is now outgrown and looking cluttered so I am in the process of migrating to a brand new website where I have far more freedom to expand and express myself. I am looking to launch this at the end of the month.

Once up and running I will do my best to update it every day with all aspects of my trading without spin and without the patronising statements that some other content providers choose to use. Having said that there are also services out there which are good and run by people that genuinely care about what they provide to their members.

As far as my own Homer service is concerned you can see the results on the right. When my members and I win, I shout about it like everyone else but when we lose I don't remain silent either! Adults do not need to be treated like children and only shown the bright side of the coin. I tweet even when days are not so good and don't find excuses for members either. Losing is part of trading and control of the losses are key to any successful long term strategy.

If you want to profit at £1000 a day and stay in a game for 89 minutes risking all and hoping to be saved you won't find it here. Instead you will profit in the real world with risk that is as slim as possible with a community of people who genuinely care about each others trading welfare.

Many traders subscribe to multiple services. I don't mind if members attend the console and don't take part in the console conversations but actively contribute in other services as I will announce audio instruction alerts so you will never miss out on any important in-play moves. I am niche and I encourage people to join many services for a varied portfolio.

To buy my strategy document and to join my service with the first month free, please click on the button below. Below that is an extract from the 33 page strategy document which gives an overview about me and how my football trading developed.


£29.98
The Family of Homer Football Strategies. 
Homer, HomerDog, HomerActive, EHD.
Free Homer Excel Results Spreadsheet.

 

Homer Daily Service - Free Month  
Thereafter £9.99 per month.
Daily Newsletter, Picks, Stakes,
Analysis, 3 Day Rolling Watch.

Access to console:
Trade Homer games live.
Trade T20 cricket live.
Trade Snooker Frame by Frame live.
Be part of a friendly community.

Handy Andy.  An Introduction

I have been sports trading on and off for more than four years. Originally my main trading was pre-race horse racing but I also dabbled lightly in a few other sports including football where I was just going round in circles. Today, when I ask people what they used to do when they first started football trading most would say lay the draw and I was no different. It seems to be a bog standard way of starting out.  Like most, I would blindly forge ahead with no pre-defined structure as to the match selection, staking or exit strategy. If you can imagine standing on a slow conveyor belt travelling around a huge mug which you had to throw money into after each complete revolution then that was me. Football is my passion and I needed serious help to step off that conveyor belt but that is easier said than done. To this day my inbox is full of emails offering ‘get rich’ sports trading systems and services, mostly advertised in the same style and almost all just existing to take your money with no real interest in helping the customer. In amongst this deluge are just a handful of services that really do care about their customers and offer value for money for the service they provide.

I joined one service two years ago and they helped to completely transform my football trading. Within a few months I was disciplined with firm objectives for each match I traded. I analysed the match statistics, staked correctly, knew exactly where my exit points were, thinking for myself and enjoying the challenge.  However there was one factor which shadowed everything that I had learnt and that was plain old hard work and dedication!

I was making a small and steady profit on football for the first time. I had stepped off the conveyor belt and was now climbing the stairs at a slow pace. I was finally thinking for myself. I wanted to see if it was possible to find a simple to use strategy that had a quick defining moment which would secure an immediate profit but at the same time provide for a safe reasonable exit that would ensure the long term success. Something that I could call my own! 

I tried many ideas for months but was soon hooked on the concept of the home goal, after all even the worst teams seem to score regularly at home. What if I could make the home goal that one defining moment where no matter what else happens a profit was secured. What if I could add other factors that would increase the chances of a winning trade.  Could I find a way to win and lose as close to the same amounts as possible thus making the no win strike rate profitable at 51%?  The simple answer is yes but the match selection is key. If a game can be found where the prices qualify but at the same time giving the home team the realistic chance of providing that winning profit then we are half way there. What we have to come to terms with is that no matter how good we think our match selections are, we are at the mercy of those highly paid players. No matter how much the home team may dominate in that first half, if they don’t do their job and stick the ball in the net then we may lose money. Plain and simple.

The Homer and the HomerLow variation had been regularly and successfully traded by myself and others in another service chat room  for many months.

It is the prices that give this strategy its long term profitability. We can all lump on Chelsea when they are at home to Barnet but it won’t make any of us money over the longer term. I use strict match selection criteria which rule out a few competitions. Unfortunately this meant that the qualifying Homer matches were limited to around one every day and  perhaps two each on Saturday and Sunday. So I wanted to expand the Homer portfolio so that I could trade these games regularly. Therefore I developed the HomerDog, the frantic but successful HomerActive and the more recent Extreme HomerDog (EHD). Naturally they are all based on the home goal concept but the price criteria and staking is slightly different. HomerDog and EHD are very simple to execute, in fact those strategies need no intervention after the initial trades unless the max loss exit (MLE) needs to be executed. These three strategies are not traded on any other service and the criteria has only been published in this document.

I traded Homers successfully within another service and was very happy there, however, the success and popularity of the Homer coupled with the development of the siblings, answering queries, advising individuals, maintaining the blog and Facebook had taken its toll on my spare time. I arrived at the crossroads of either taking a back seat and trading quietly or continuing to use my time to help others in a more structured and professional manner where I could at the very least receive a fee for the time and effort that I was devoting. I now have a super community of my own.

What makes the Homer family stand out against many other strategies that I have come across is that you know where you stand to win or lose before you take the decision to trade. I provide a strategy calculator for console attendees which takes seconds to implement.  In basic terms Homer, HomerDog and HomerActive offer an average of the same win to lose ratio. This means we can instantly know that when we use x2 stakes we will win or lose approx £46, x4 stakes £92, x6 stakes £138 etc. EHD offers the potential of a bigger win.

For each single stake you have an iniital liability of around £60 but only ever risking up to £24. so if you trade a game using x4 stakes you will need a bank of at least £240. Only use multiple stakes for major league games with high Correct Score market volumes. Late night South American games should only be traded at half to single stakes and should be classed as fun trades.

In simple terms if you get to at least half time with the all scores except 0-0 & 0-1 you will not lose and even with these two scores there are options to scratch and even win the entire trade.

An Excellent Homer Day

I traded five games at the console with 3 wins and 2 losses. One of the wins included Parma which made a profit of £55 on single stakes.

Overall it was a fantastic set of results for the Homer family yesterday. The huge list of 35  qualifying saw 20 winners, 5 scratches, 10 losses.

10:00 Volga Nyzhni Novgorod v Krasnodar HOMER SCRATCH
12:45 Dundee United v Rangers HOMERACTIVE WINNER
12:45 Everton v Sunderland (QF FAC) HOMER WINNER
14:00 Albinoleffe v Sassuolo HOMERDOG WINNER
14:00 Juve Stabia v Torino HOMERDOG WINNER
14:30 Augsburg v Mainz HOMERDOG WINNER *TRADED**
14:30 Leverkusen v Mgladbach HOMER SCRATCH
14:45 GKS Belchatow v Wisla Krakow HOMERDOG WINNER
15:00 Barnsley v Reading HOMERDOG WINNER
15:00 Crystal Palace v Hull HOMERLOW LOSS
15:00 Doncaster v Derby HOMER WINNER
15:00 Leeds v West Ham HOMERACTIVE LOSS
15:00 Millwall v Southampton HOMERDOG WINNER
15:00 Motherwell v Aberdeen HOMER WINNER
15:00 St Mirren v St Johnstone HOMER WINNER
15:00 Wigan v WBA HOMERDOG LOSS *TRADED*
16:45 Grasshoppers Zurich v Young Boys EXTREME HOMERDOG LOSS
17:00 Granada v Gijon HOMER WINNER
17:00 Jagiellonia v Lech Poznan HOMERDOG WINNER
17:00 Las Palmas v Celta Vigo HOMERDOG WINNER
17:00 Numancia v Elche HOMER WINNER
17:00 Parma v AC Milan EXTREME HOMERDOG LOSS *TRADED*
17:00 Petrolul Ploiesti v Uni Cluj HOMERDOG WINNER
17:00 Zaragoza v Osasuna HOMER LOSS
17:30 Wiener Neustadt v Austria Vienna HOMERDOG LOSS
18:00 Auxerre v Evian HOMER SCRATCH
18:00 Caen v PSG EXTREME HOMERDOG SCRATCH
18:00 Nancy v Montpellier HOMERDOG LOSS
19:00 Union Santa Fe v Velez HOMER WINNER
19:45 Fiorentina v Juventus HOMERDOG BIG WINNER *TRADED*
19:45 VVV v NEC Nijmegen HOMERACTIVE LOSS
20:00 St Etienne v Lyon HOMER LOSS
20:15 Feirense v Braga EXTREME HOMERDOG SCRATCH
21:00 Rayo Vallecano v Betis HOMERACTIVE WINNER *TRADED*
23:30 Olimpo v Racing Club HOMER WINNER

The Homer Family document costs £29.98 and contains details for Homer, HomerLow, HomerActive, HomerDog and the very popular Extreme HomerDog and for a limited time subscription to the daily service including newsletter and access to the console is free for the first month.

£29.98
The Family of Homer Football Strategies.   
plus free Homer Excel Results Spreadsheet

Lay Homers Horse - The Place

Lay Homers Horse. Place lay at 2% Liability. Start Bank £1000 is now £1616.23 after just over 6 weeks. Max Liab £32.98 twitter.com/HandyAndyHomer…

— HandyAndy (@HandyAndyHomer) March 4, 2012

Sunday Lay Selections

Lay Homers Horse.

Mailer not working so lays are as follows:
14:10 Huntingdon - Vimiero fav.
15:10 Huntingdon - Powerful Ambition 2nd fav

Sunday Marathon Results

Yesterday saw another great marathon session as games were traded at the console by members irrespective of the teams form. New members covered their Homer purchase by just one day at the console.

Excluding Crawley which had all outcomes depending on a personal choice, there were 14 games available to trade of which 10 won, 1 scratched and only 3 lost. Gijon was a bigger win than average as it was an EHD that finished 1-1 which is the highest green.

If all games are traded the profit would be well in excess of £100. Add that to Saturdays profit and it is one serious weekend!

Check out the comments in my previous post from two happy members.

The Homer Family document costs £29.98 and contains details for Homer, HomerLow, HomerActive, HomerDog and the very popular Extreme HomerDog and for a limited time subscription to the daily service including newsletter and access to the console is free for the first month.



£29.98
The Family of Homer Football Strategies.   
plus free Homer Excel Results Spreadsheet.

11:00 Elche v Celta Vigo HOMER LOSS
11:00 Granada v Sociedad HOMER WINNER
11:30 Leece v Siena HOMER WINNER
12:00 Crawley v Stoke HOMERDOG WINNER/LOSER ON DECISION AT 0-2
12:30 1860 Munich v  F. Dusseldorf HOMERACTIVE GOAL TOO EARLY NO TRADE
12:45 Aberdeen v St.Johnstone HOMER LOSER
13:00 Giannina v Atromitos HOMERLOW SCRATCH
14:00 Cesana v AC Milan EXTREME HOMERDOG WINNER
15:00 Hibernian v Celtic EXTREME HOMERDOG WINNER
16:00 Bordeaux v Lyon HOMER WINNER
16:00 St.Etienne v Rennes HOMER WINNER
16:30 Hannover v Stuttgart HOMERACTIVE WINNER
17:00 Gijon v Ath Madrid EXTREME HOMERDOG 1-1 WINNER
17:00 Mallorca v Villareal HOMER  WINNER
18:45 R Huelva v Hercules HOMER LOSS
18:45 Levante v Rayo Vallecano HOMER WINNER
19:45 Palermo v Lazio HOMERACTIVE GOAL TOO EARLY NO TRADE

Free Homer Weekend Newsletter & Horse Lay Results

It was another profitable day for the Homer Strategies including a big win late into the night. On my daily lists the winning games are overwhelmingly greater than the losing one's on a day to day basis. So the more that are traded the more chance of consistently profiting each day.

If you would like a copy of today's newsletter which lists yesterdays results, today's qualifying fixtures and potential possibilities for games on Sunday and Monday, please complete the Homer Family Package form on the left. The newsletter will be automatically emailed to you once you have verified your details.

As far as the horse lays are concerned the results are very strong for laying the place which is surprising considering the lays are recommended against the win only. It is interesting to note that from 89 selections, 60 of them failed to place and the vast majority are between the favourite and 4th favourite.

Staking to a £100 liability upon the pick winning the race is showing a months profit at £484 (BSP). A £10 liability is £48.

Staking to a £100 liability upon the pick being placed is showing a months profit of £2,335 (BSP). A £10 liability is £233.

I am currently amending the staking to achieve the best profit possible. Maria's plan seems to be the best option.

If you wish to receive the free lays, please complete the form on the right.  

Another Strong Performance

The Homer strategies go from strength to strength with eight profitable trades from ten qualifying fixtures that I listed on the newsletter.

In amongst the eight winners were two gems. The Pizen game had developed from a HomerDog into an EHD whilst Metalist battered Salzburg which gave the opportunity for the jackpot trade. Well done to Eddy who traded six of the seven early games.

Had all ten games been traded using single stakes the profit was in excess of £200.

Thursday 16th February (results)
17:00 Lokomotiv v Ath Bilbao HOMER WINNER 
18:00 Ajax v Man. United EXTREME HOMERDOG LOSS
18:00 AZ Alkmaar v Anderlecht HOMERACTIVE WINNER
18:00 Lazio v Ath Madrid HOMER WINNER
18:00 Legia Warsaw v Sporting Lisbon HOMERDOG WINNER
18:00 Pizen v Schalke EXTREME HOMERDOG BIG WINNER
18:00 Salzburg v Metalist HOMERDOG BIG WINNER
20:05 Porto v Manchester City HOMERACTIVE WINNER
20:05 Stoke v Valencia HOMERDOG LOSS
20:05 Tranzonspor v PSV HOMERACTIVE GOAL TOO EARLY NO TRADE
20:05 Wisla Krakow v Standard Liege HOMER WINNER

After two very successful Sunday challenges I will be going for the hatrick. I will try to trade every game listed starting at 11am going right through to the evening games. At single stakes both Sundays achieved profit in excess of  £100.

In addition to the football success the two horse selection lays finished unplaced. These horses were not at silly prices either. My contact certainly know his stuff. If you wish to receive the selections please complete the form on the right.

Today I am offering my pick for all: 19:30 Hoffenheim v Mainz HOMER

Hoffenheim have scored at least one goal in the first half of four of their last five home  league games. Mainz have scored six goals in their last five away league games. That is enough reason to choose the game as a pick.

No Mention of Horses

The Homer family daily qualifying list continues to show far more wins than losses in the vast majority. The up to date results of my main picks (converted to single stakes) reinforces the view that the more games that are traded the better the chance of a profitable day. 

I traded as many games as I could over last Saturday and Sunday. I was involved in 19 games of which 12 were profitable, 2 were scratched and 5 were losers. 

However I traded just one game on Tuesday which was a loser but it was one of only two losing games in a list containing nine matches. Similarly yesterday I traded and lost two games but there were more wins in the overall daily list. So although at first glance my results show 6 losses in 7 games, the more games that are traded in a single day the greater the possibility of a profitable day. The most important statistic is the long term view in which the no loss strike rate is steady at just under 70%.

Most of this months trading results were achieved without scalping so had my trades been followed at single stakes the bank would have increased by almost £200. Had the trades been followed since the beginning of September, the profit would be at £935.

The beauty of the Homer strategies are that you always know what you can win or lose before the game kicks off. At single stakes on average the win and loss is £23 so if you want the opportunity to profit by £100 the stakes need to be increased to four.

I recently came across a site called The Goal System  which offers selections for free for games where a goal is expected by half time. This of course is a crucial element to a successful Homer trade and I think Homerites should pop over there to see if there are any games that appear on both our lists. They have had a sticky patch earlier this month which hits all systems but in the main they have got it right far more than wrong.

Another site that I haven't mentioned recently but I use all the time is Betting System Notes. As well as their unique fixture search tool named MarketMatcher where you enter the price parameters and it lists all the in play games which fit that criteria, it also has a fully customisable online notepad and organiser where you can store all your notes for betting systems, strategies, trading rules and guidelines.

If you have hundreds of systems, strategies and trading ideas scattered over umpteen eBooks, pdfs, spreadsheets that you have built up over the years you can use their tool to store all the information in one place. In addition to this there are strategy documents and videos. You can check it out for your self by clicking the Betting System Notes banner on the right.