Thursday, 16 February 2012

No Mention of Horses

The Homer family daily qualifying list continues to show far more wins than losses in the vast majority. The up to date results of my main picks (converted to single stakes) reinforces the view that the more games that are traded the better the chance of a profitable day. 

I traded as many games as I could over last Saturday and Sunday. I was involved in 19 games of which 12 were profitable, 2 were scratched and 5 were losers. 

However I traded just one game on Tuesday which was a loser but it was one of only two losing games in a list containing nine matches. Similarly yesterday I traded and lost two games but there were more wins in the overall daily list. So although at first glance my results show 6 losses in 7 games, the more games that are traded in a single day the greater the possibility of a profitable day. The most important statistic is the long term view in which the no loss strike rate is steady at just under 70%.

Most of this months trading results were achieved without scalping so had my trades been followed at single stakes the bank would have increased by almost £200. Had the trades been followed since the beginning of September, the profit would be at £935.














The beauty of the Homer strategies are that you always know what you can win or lose before the game kicks off. At single stakes on average the win and loss is £23 so if you want the opportunity to profit by £100 the stakes need to be increased to four.

I recently came across a site called The Goal System  which offers selections for free for games where a goal is expected by half time. This of course is a crucial element to a successful Homer trade and I think Homerites should pop over there to see if there are any games that appear on both our lists. They have had a sticky patch earlier this month which hits all systems but in the main they have got it right far more than wrong.

Another site that I haven't mentioned recently but I use all the time is Betting System Notes. As well as their unique fixture search tool named MarketMatcher where you enter the price parameters and it lists all the in play games which fit that criteria, it also has a fully customisable online notepad and organiser where you can store all your notes for betting systems, strategies, trading rules and guidelines.

If you have hundreds of systems, strategies and trading ideas scattered over umpteen eBooks, pdfs, spreadsheets that you have built up over the years you can use their tool to store all the information in one place. In addition to this there are strategy documents and videos. You can check it out for your self by clicking the Betting System Notes banner on the right.


Monday, 13 February 2012

Sunday Homer Challenge

Yesterday I decided to challenge myself and trade all the qualifying games irrespective of form or without any scalping as the overwhelming trend of a qualifying list is a profit. It was non stop from 11am through to 10pm  It started off well with seven consecutive winning traded games but the intense activity soon took its toll and I had to let some games pass me by. The actual games I traded are marked below. Towards the end the losing trades started to catch up but perhaps that was to be expected as they were mostly EHD's. The most important fact was that the overall result was a decent profit.
 
Sunday 12th February (results)
List Results:        Games 16,   Won 10,  Scratch 0,  Loss 6
Traded Results:  Games 10,    Won 7,   Scratch 0,  Loss 3

11:00 Hercules v Deportivo HOMER OVERS WINNER *TRADED*
11:00 Orduspor v Antalyaspor HOMER FG WINNER *TRADED*
11:30 Bari v Sassuolo HOMER 9 MINUTE FG AND OVERS WINNER *TRADED*
12:30 H Rostock v Duisburg HOMER OVERS WINNER
13:00 Doxa v Panetolikos EXTREME HOMERDOG OVERS WINNER *TRADED*
13:30 Standard v Anderlecht HOMERDOG FG WINNER *TRADED*
13:30 Wolves v WBA HOMERACTIVE OVERS WINNER *TRADED*
14:00 Manisaspor v Buraspor HOMERDOG OVERS WINNER
14:30 Augsberg v Nurnberg HOMER LOSS *TRADED*
15:00 Girona v Almeria HOMER LOSS

15:00 Rayo Vallecano v Getafe HOMER 2-0 WINNER *TRADED*
15:15 Levadiakos v Asteras Tripolis HOMERLOW LOSS
16:00 Aston Villa v Man.City EXTREME HOMERDOG LOSS *TRADED*
16:00 Nice v PSG EXTREME HOMERDOG LOSS
17:00 Karabukspor v Fenerbahce EXTREME HOMERDOG OVERS WINNER
19:00 Zambia v Ivory Coast EXTREME HOMERDOG LOSS *TRADED*

Thursday, 9 February 2012

Lays for Thursday 9/2 - Final post of lays here

15:00 Wolverhampton       MATAAJIR               Current Win Price 5.9 fav.    Place Price 2.34
16:05 Wolverhampton       TRIP SWITCH          Current Win Price 4.2 fav.    Place Price 1.89

Please complete the form on the right to continue to receive the selections via newsletter. I will set up another tab on here where the results will be recorded. 
In future my blog posts will concentrate on the Homer and my general trading.


UPDATE - BOTH SELECTIONS DIDN'T PLACE. IT IS JUST INCREDIBLE THE WAY THESE SELECTIONS PERFORM. REMEMBER THIS IS TO LAY THE WIN YET THE PLACE DELIVERS AGAIN AND AGAIN.

Wednesday, 8 February 2012

Lays for Wednesday 8/2

Only one lay selection today as the weather has decimated the card.

14.20 Kemp - White Shift
currently 3rd fav at 7.4

If you wish to continue to receive the selections please sign up to the form on the right. Tomorrow will be the last day I will put them up on this page.

UPDATE - It finished well outside the places. BSP was 13's but it was available at 7.4 when I originally posted. The place went off at 4.2 but again that was far less earlier.

Remember tomorrow is the last day on here so make sure you complete the form.

Changes

I have had a couple of complaints from subscribers or purchasers of the Homer strats that receive copies of my blog posts automatically that only want to receive news about Homers rather than the daily horse lay selections. 

It is a fair point so I will concentrate the blog around the trading and have added a form to the right for anyone wanting to continue to receive the lays. These will be sent out in a similar format to the Homer newsletter. I will add another tab where I will post the results for anyone wanting to follow how things are going but doesn't want to complete the form.

I will continue to post the lays on here for the next couple of days to allow followers time to complete the form and start the newsletter from Friday.

Tuesday, 7 February 2012

Tuesday 7/2 lays

Dunaskin 1.45 - Southwell
Byrwynd Spirit 16.15 Southwell

Another two selections which didn't even place.

Monday, 6 February 2012

Lays for Monday 6/2

I'm A Gangster 4.45 Ayr

Didn't even place.

Saturday, 4 February 2012

Lays for Sat 4/2 Correction

Mount Abora is at 15.45 Wolves not Southwell

- 12.55 Lingfield Crystalyev was fab and finished unplaced.

Thursday, 2 February 2012

Thursday 2/2 Lays

Today’s lay selections:

1400 Southwell -- Staravers Joy currently  8.2
1520 Wolverhampton – Prickles currently 5.0
1550 Wolverhampton– Star Links currently 5.0

All three were winning lays. Two of them were out of the places. I will update the results later today.

NO LAY SELECTIONS ON FRIDAY 3/2

Wednesday, 1 February 2012

No Lays Today 1/2

With two meetings abandoned my contact decided to take the day off, so there is nothing today.